Metode Conjugate Gradient Beale Powell Restarts Untuk Memprediksi Angka Kecelakaan Berdasarkan Korban Yang Meninggal Di Sumatera Utara
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.30865/resolusi.v3i4.692Keywords:
Analysis; Accident; North Sumatera; Backpropagation; Conjugate Gradient Powell Beale RestartsAbstract
The purpose of this study is to predict the number of traffic accident victims who died in North Sumatra using the Backpropogation Conjugate Gradient Beale Powell Restarts method, as well as calculating using a method based on the level of error and predicting the number of disaster victims and then routes in North Sumatra for the following year. This research was attempted in North Sumatra where the information used in this study was obtained from BPS (Central Bureau of Statistics) of North Sumatra. This information is in the form of information regarding the number of disasters and routes in North Sumatra in 2010–2022 using quantitative analysis using the Conjugate Gradient Beale Powell Restarts method. The results of the analysis of surveillance information on the number of victims of the disaster then using the Conjugate Gradient Beale Powell Restarts method obtained that the best form is the 11-4-1 architectural form with MSE 0.068199165 and an accuracy of 82.14%. Based on the level of confusion, it was found that the Conjugate Gradient Beale Powell Restarts procedure was better than the other architectures, including 11- 5- 1, 11- 6- 1, 11- 7- 1, 11- 3- 1. the number of accident victims for the next 1 year (Year 2023).
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